Media

Articles published in 2011

A perfect 10

A perfect 10

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'A perfect 10' published on 24 December 2011.

It’s a shame there isn’t a World Championship of Fainting, as I’m confident I could win gold for Australia. My most recent example, prompted by a stomach complaint, would certainly have come as close to perfection as Nadia Comaneci’s 10 out of 10 on the uneven bars at the 1976 Summer Olympics. It was a fairly spectacular effort, with all the hallmarks of a great faint – sweating, shivering, mumbling and kryptonite-like weakness.

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In a 'roundabout' way

In a 'roundabout' way

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'The Robot Says Stop' published on 10 December 2011.

I was thinking about the different names for traffic lights as I was stuck on red at Tamworth’s newest set of traffic lights (at the intersection of Bridge Street and Belmore Street). As I waited for green, I wondered why we had swapped a perfectly good roundabout for a set of traffic lights.

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A boy and his toys

A boy and his toys

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'Ken and Barbie won't make you rich'?

It wasn’t until many years later that I finally figured out what I really should have been buying with my fifty pounds – shares in BHP Billiton. If I had the foresight to spend my fifty pounds on BHP shares each year, I would now be sitting on a tidy investment worth just over $23,000. A little deposit perhaps towards the fast red sports car that somebody wants for their fortieth birthday. I guess the toys never change, they just get bigger and more expensive.

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Music 'Embrace the change'

Music 'Embrace the change'

This article was originally published as 'Music Industry is embracing the change like never before' in The Morning Bulletin on 08th October, 2011.

Queensland is known for its resource and tourism industries, but if you were invited to attend conferences on financial planning and music, would you think of Brisbane as a natural location? And would you expect the financial or the musical people to have a better grip on their industry? Which would you think of as the most professional?

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QANTAS An Airline Grounded

QANTAS An Airline Grounded

This article was first publihed in The Morning Bulletin dated 05th November 2011. Titled 'QANTAS'

Regardless of variants, Qantas’ domestic operations have always been the driver of Qantas’ profit and that history provides a sound basis against which to test the views of Alan Joyce. Consider now the very strong $A, high fuel prices and vastly increased international competition. Then add a rebranded Virgin, which is showing signs of having all of the quality of the old Ansett, without the inflexible work practices and cost base. Sound like an environment for unrestrained pay increases?

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Who's This Jason Guy?

Who's This Jason Guy?

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'Who's this Jason guy'?

Given my regular message that most investing behaviour is driven by our cognitive and emotional states, it probably wouldn’t surprise you to learn that the same failure to act sooner rather than later is also prevalent in how we manage our investments. Researchers have given it the fancy name of the ‘disposition effect’, but really all it means is that when it comes to share investing we tend to hold on to our losers and sell our winners. It’s not so much the selling of the winners which is a problem (as they say, nobody ever went broke taking a profit), it’s holding on to dud investments for far too long, when they should have been sold immediately when things started to go downhill.

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Jackpot

Jackpot

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'Hi Mum I've won the lottery' on the 15th of October 2011.

Unfortunately, your real chances of winning the lottery are slim – winning Powerball is a 1 in 55 million long shot. However your odds of having to deal with a windfall of a different sort are quite high – every one of us has money in superannuation and many of us will need to decide what to do with our lifetime savings when we retire. While not quite on the same scale as a lottery win, you may still be required to decide what to do with hundreds of thousands of dollars.

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The Death Drop

The Death Drop

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'Jumping off a cliff can hurt' on the 1st of October 2011.

The wild gyrations we’ve been seeing on global stock markets are largely because there is no certainty that Germany and France will make the right decision, or even if saving Greece is the right decision. With any luck the outcome is more positive than when I paid my US$90 to experience the ‘death drop’ a little over a decade ago. On that occasion I blacked out on the way down and nearly threw my back out – here’s hoping Greece avoids the same fate.

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What sort of car are you?

What sort of car are you?

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leader under the heading, 'What sort of car are you'?

Early last year my wife and I experienced two momentous occasions: we found out we were having a baby and we had to buy a new car. Clearly the latter was brought about by the former, for as much as I argued otherwise, it was apparent that fitting a baby capsule to the ute’s passenger seat was not an option.

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Theories

Theories

This article was originally published as ‘Theories’ in The Morning Bulletin in September 2011.

The Chinese do know what they are doing. Once fragmented, four or five companies now control much of the commodity market, making prices much less volatile. High prices are not evoking the supply response of times past, and therefore prices are remaining “stronger for longer”. Such an outcome is consistent with microeconomic theory - big consumers will want to bypass the problem by owning the resources directly. Not keen on economics? Watch the movie “Dune”.

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Don't just do something, sit there

Don't just do something, sit there

This article was first published inThe Northern Daily Leaderunder the heading, don't just do something, sit there.

Unsurprisingly, these are the sort of questions that scientists love to answer, and a 2007 study by a group of Israeli researchers found that when facing a penalty kick, goalkeepers have an ‘action bias’ – which means that they tend to dive left or right more frequently than was useful. The study showed that goalkeepers went left or the right 94% of the time – meaning they stay in the middle for only 6% of the kicks they faced. However, the penalty shot went straight at the middle of the goal 29% of the time, so it turns out that goalkeepers could increase their chances of saving the penalty kick simply by doing nothing.

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National Disability Insurance Scheme

National Disability Insurance Scheme

This article was first published in The Morning Bulletin under the heading Disability on 20 August 2011.

In the late 1960’s and early 1970’s Balmain basket weavers argued for the dismantling of institutionalised care for the disabled. If you don’t remember, rent out “One Flew over the Cuckoo’s Nest”. Once you have seen it, tell me what happens after McMurphy escapes the institution?

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Shock Loss or Shocking Winners

Shock Loss or Shocking Winners

This article was first published in The Northern Daily Leader under the title 'Take That' on 06 August 2011.

Psychologists found that most of us suffer from ‘confirmation bias’, which means that we tend to favour information that confirms our views, regardless of whether the information is true or not. Another discovery is the ‘house-money’ effect, which found that people tend to gamble more recklessly with money from a windfall (such as a profitable investment or a winning scratchie). It’s no surprise why casinos are happy to give you free chips when you join their loyalty club.

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Don't feel compelled to do things that make you uncomfortable

Don't feel compelled to do things that make you uncomfortable

This article was first published in The Northern Daily Leader under the title 'Hello Brian' on 23 July 2011.

The ‘Do Not Call Register’ is a great idea – apparently signing up to the register means you won’t be troubled by pesky telemarketers, who have a knack for knowing when you have just sat down for dinner. Last week, while my wife and I were preoccupied with convincing our six month old son Jack, that liquidised pumpkin is a tasty food source, we were interrupted by a telephone call from ‘Brian’. In hindsight we should have just ignored the call, but we had been expecting a call from a family member.

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Flicking the switch

Flicking the switch

This article was first published in The Morning Bulletin under the heading Electricity dated 16 July 2011.

Electricity is the ultimate perishable good - It has to be used as it is produced. Coal fired power stations are at their most efficient when producing constant amounts for long periods of time. This is at odds with demand patterns, which fluctuate throughout the day, and in particular, with the weather. Industry says that power stations have to be built to meet peak demand, but coal fired power stations frequently lose money selling electricity in the off-peak, when demand is low. When demand is very high, wafer thin links between the states mean generators can’t even buy in from elsewhere, and in any event the wastage from transmission is high. Further, much distribution infrastructure is not set up to handle the two-way electricity flows necessary for a smart grid.

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Bubbles in Paris

Bubbles in Paris

This article was first published in The Northern Daily Leader under the title 'Bubbles in Paris' on 09 July 2011.

Too often we see ordinary Australians being duped by the modern-day equivalent of John Law and his exciting yet ultimately worthless investment opportunity. So whenever a ‘John Law’ comes your way, be a sceptic first and a believer second. The Mississippi Company wasn’t the first speculative bubble to collapse, and it certainly won’t be the last.

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Rockhampton It's The Vibe

Rockhampton It's The Vibe

This article was first published in The Morning Bulletin Titled (The Show) dated 11 June 2011.

The show has moved with the times, but not so our region. These initiatives were all driven by individuals who want to achieve something. None relied on Government, and consequently avoided the squabbling and do-nothing mentality that we are saddled with. After more than 10 years back here, the problem is clear. There is simply too much politics – bring back Brophy.

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Boring Budget

Boring Budget

This article was first publihed in The Morning Bulletin dated 21st May 2011. Federal Budget Undoes Our Buffer Against GST

Is the recent Commonwealth budget boring? Perhaps, but it is important because of what it has failed to do. It is an embarrassment to the party that through Whitlam, dragged Australia kicking and screaming into the 20th Century, and into a liberal financial mainstream through Hawke and Keating. In fact, it seems to sow the seeds of undoing much of the great work that has led to Australia’s ability to withstand the GFC, and the nation’s current prosperity.

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A cut above

A cut above

This article was originally published in The Morning Bulletin in March 2011. Titled What can a financial planner do?

The ongoing nature of financial advising provides the opportunity for continuous financial improvement, whether through investment or through structural means. Like a GP, personal financial professionals will call in expert help when needed, but the primary relationship will be with the generalist.

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The culture of fear

The culture of fear

This article was first published in The Morning Bulletin Titled (The culture of fear) dated 04 March 2011.

Being gloomy has become fashionable. Once the fun police were the precious domain of the movie theatre (a special hello to Rockhampton Twin Cinema’s, Mr. Styles), but now they are everywhere. Driven by painful political correct ideology, they seek to impose their totalitarian views on the rest of us. Most of us already understand the need to respect each other, but the PC crowd employ their tools to subvert intelligent debate and stifle development.

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The Splendour of isolation

The Splendour of isolation

This article was first publihed in The Morning Bulletin dated 07th January 2011. Titled 'Splendid Isolation'

The plight of people badly affected, and the efforts of those involved in helping maintain the community deserves respect, but it’s pretty important that our community leaders speak frankly about the resilience and importance of the town. That includes not making misleading statements that 40 per cent of the city is underwater, or that we are isolated, when we never were - you only had to call the Royal Oak Hotel at Yaamba and look on the RACQ website to discover that (that’s what I did anyhow). Perhaps one sensible suggestion is a river height gauge at Pink Lily Highbanks. The grief really only starts when the river breaches those banks.

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